This is an 8* on OVER

The Twins and Reds will wrap up this very brief two-game series in an early afternoon affair. Last night saw the visitors prevail 7-5 as Jorge Polanco delivered a three-run homer in the top of the ninth. Minnesota, despite not playing with a DH, probably should have scored even more runs. But they were only 3 for 15 with runners in scoring position in the game. Still, the Over hit and high-scoring games at Great American Ballpark are nothing new. On average, Reds’ home games see 11.0 runs scored. They score 5.4 runs/contest themselves while giving up 5.6. No other park sees a higher average of runs/game scored, not even Coors Field. We look for the deluge of runs to continue on Getaway Day. Luis Castillo has engineered a remarkable turnaround for the Reds with a 1.95 ERA since June 1st. He had started the 2021 season with a 1-10 team start record. But two career starts vs. the Reds have brought Castillo a 16.20 ERA. Don’t be surprised if the Twins get to him. Starting here for the Twins will be Charlie Barnes. It’s just his second career big league start. The Over is 63-39-5 in all Twins’ games this year. That’s the highest Over percentage in baseball. Cincinnati isn’t far behind, in fifth place. The Over is 33-17-3 in Twins’ road games and 29-10-1 if they are the underdog, which is the case this afternoon. Six of their last seven games have gone Over. Play on OVER

AAA