This is a 10* on TORONTO

Six games separate Boston and Toronto in the American League East with the Red Sox ahead. But the Blue Jays are the ones coming into this series with a little more momentum (i.e. a four-game win streak) and it’s also important to note their run differential for the season is much better than Boston’s. Whereas the Red Sox have a +51 run differential, the Blue Jays are +95. Boston might have the best record in the division (Toronto in third place), but the roles are swapped when it comes to run differential. Only five teams have a better run differential than Toronto. So what we’re saying is, expect them to treat Monday’s series opener as a “statement-type game.” Boston has lost its last two games, including the Sunday nighter 9-1 to the Yankees. Toronto played a doubleheader on Sunday and won both games in shutout fashion, 5-0 and 10-0. It was the first time they ever did that in franchise history. This is the final homestand in Buffalo before they get to head back to Toronto at the end of the month. The “nomadic lifestyle” has actually treated the Blue Jays fairly well as they’ve averaged 5.8 runs/game at home - whether it’s Dunedin or Buffalo. We’re highly skeptical of Boston right now as the pitching has been bad of late AND they’re not hitting. Pivetta, who is starting Monday, has a 9.00 ERA in two starts vs. Toronto this year. Play on TORONTO

AAA