This is a 10* on MILWAUKEE

There probably isn’t a starting pitcher with a more misleading team start record than the Brewers’ Corbin Burnes. Burnes has started 15 times this year and the Brewers are only 7-8 in those games. But that completely undersells just how well he has pitched. Burnes has both a 2.26 ERA and 0.90 WHIP. Both those numbers are among the top five in baseball. The fact he was selected as an All Star tells you all you need to know. We look for Burnes to lead Milwaukee to a sweep of Cincinnati on Sunday. The Brewers have been outstanding in day games this year with a 28-12 record. They are also 28-18 on the road after yesterday’s 11 inning victory. That’s a better record than they have at home. The lead in the NL Central has now grown to six games over the Reds. A big reason for that is the Brewers are giving up just 3.4 runs/game on the road. Burnes’ numbers are even better on the road (1.98 ERA, 0.79 WHIP). Overall, he’s allowed two runs or less in 12 of his 15 starts. So his record ought to be much better. Sonny Gray has pitched only 12 innings in the last month for the Reds, thus he’s far less trustworthy in this spot. Play on MILWAUKEE

AAA