This is a 9* on OVER

Our only losing selection on Friday was the Over in this matchup. We’re doubling down on Saturday. Atlanta put up five runs yesterday, which we expected. But we did not see Miami getting blanked. The Marlins could manage just two hits against Charlie Morton, even though it was the fourth time they’d faced him in 2021. Expect them to fare better at the plate this afternoon vs. Max Fried. Fried has yet to defeat Miami in eight career tries. He’s 0-3 with a 6.19 ERA. Two of those losses have come this year as he’s allowed 11 runs in 10 innings. Also, Fried just gave up six runs in his last start. The start before that, however, was a 20-2 win. His last three starts have all gone Over. He has a 6.65 ERA and 1.65 WHIP on the road. Trevor Rogers is having a great rookie season for the Marlins … except when he faces the Braves. He has a 7.00 ERA in two career starts against them. This is a pretty low total for a matchup where one of the starters looks shaky and where you have to figure one of the teams (Atlanta) is going to score 4-5 runs. Play on OVER

AAA