This is a 10* on OVER

The obvious story coming into these NBA Finals is the health of Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo. Milwaukee probably can’t win the series without him. But in the last two games, they have proven they can at least score with Giannis on the bench. Putting up 118 and 123 points was impressive. Consider that those last two games vs. Atlanta both rank among the Bucks’ top five highest scoring games this entire postseason run. Giannis is doubtful for G1 (despite “good progress”), so we’ll just assume he isn’t going to play. Based on those last two games, we do think Milwaukee will score enough to help send this one Over the total. In Game 6 vs. the Hawks, they knocked down 17 of 45 three-point attempts. We envision a high volume of three-point attempts tonight. Middleton and Holliday have certainly proven they can pick up the slack when Giannis is out. Phoenix scored 130 when it closed out the Clippers last Wednesday. They are 7-0 Over this season after a game in which they scored at least 130 points. The last three times they have faced Milwaukee, the Suns have scored a minimum of 125 points. The Bucks give up about 114 points/game on the road. That seems like a reasonable number for Phoenix to hit tonight and if they do, this one almost certainly goes Over the total. Play on OVER

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