This is a 10* on the OVER

This is a really big game when it comes to who will get the last few playoff spots in the Western Conference. Golden State is safely in, for now, as they are 9th with a 32-32 SU record. They trail 8th place Memphis by a ½ game and are also ahead of 10th place San Antonio by a ½ game. Most importantly, they are up three games on New Orleans, who would be the odd team out. But the Pelicans have won two in a row and covered the spread in four straight games. Getting the Warriors at home for two games (today and tomorrow) is huge. The total is high for Monday, but we like the game to go Over anyway. The Pelicans are the league’s top Over team (39-24 all games) including 24-10 when favored. Even when the total is 230.0 or higher, the Over is 16-9 in their games. The last game, a win over Minnesota, did go to overtime. But it was tied at 123 at the end of regulation. Golden State only gave up 87 points in its last game, but they were playing Houston, who shot a horrific 9 of 42 from three-point land. The Warriors have scored at least 113 in five of the last six games. The one time they didn’t, they gave up 133. Play on OVER

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