This is an 8* on the OVER

Bettors (even some sharp ones!) seem content to think that eventually a Denver game is going to go Under the total. It’s happened only one time in the bubble (out of a possible 14 games) and most of the games have gone way Over. Take this series where the six games have averaged 234.3 points/game. Yet oddsmakers keep setting low totals and bettors keep taking the bait. Not us. The only Under for the Nuggets in the bubble required an ugly 87-point effort from them. Other than that, most games have gone Over by double digits. In battling back to force this Game 7, Denver has turned in a bubble-best defensive performance two games in a row, allowing just 107 points in both wins. We don’t trust them to do so again though. Each team has a player (Utah - Mitchell, Denver - Murray) that could set a new NBA record for most points in a playoff series tonight. The Jazz have been pretty bad defensively in the bubble as well. They’ve allowed at least 110 points in all but three games. The Over is 16-5 the last 21 times the Jazz have been off a loss. Play on OVER

AAA