This is a 10* on the OVER

If Portland wins Saturday, then they move on and face the Lakers in the 1st round. If Memphis wins, then there’s another game tomorrow and the Grizzlies have to win that one too (to earn their shot at the Lakers). Memphis should (theoretically) be the more motivated side Saturday, but they are short-handed (no Jaren Jackson) and quite frankly haven’t played very well in the bubble (2-6 straight up and against the spread). The Trail Blazers have gone 6-2 SU and 5-2-1 ATS and that’s how they passed Memphis for the 8th seed. We’re passing on the side in this one, but like the total as we figure there continues to be plenty of scoring as long as Damian Lillard and the Blazers are involved. Portland’s last five games have AVERAGED more than 250 total points. Lillard has scored more than 150 himself in the last three, which is obviously insane. The team is also very bad defensively as it has allowed more than 130 points in back to back games. These teams played to a 140-135 final (won by Portland) in the first game after the restart. While there was overtime, it was still 124-124 at the end of regulation. Play on OVER

AAA