This is an 8* play on SAN DIEGO

We were on Philadelphia last night, which didn't work out. Our read on the series has changed because of the that result, but rather due to tonight's starting pitching matchup, which greatly favors the home team. San Diego will send out its new ace, Chris Paddack, who would be top three in ERA among NL starters were he to qualify. Paddack needs only 3 2/3 more innings to qualify, so he'll be on the leaderboard after today as he should rebound from his worst career start. That start came against the Yankees last Wednesday as he allowed three solo home runs. Despite this, opponents are still only batting .170 off Paddack and he has a 0.82 WHIP with 62 strikeouts in 56 1/3 innings. He's averaging nearly 10 K's per nine innings and should regain past form here against a Phillies lineup that has managed to score only eight runs during a five-game losing streak. It was 8-2 San Diego last night and the way Jerad Eickhoff has pitched lately isn't likely to turn the tide for Philly. Eickhoff has allowed four or more runs in his last four starts. Play on SAN DIEGO

AAA