This is a 10* play on CLEVELAND

The Indians trail the Twins by 11.5 games right now, a stunning deficit that no one would have though possible at the start of the season. Minnesota has been the biggest surprise in baseball so far, racing to the best record in baseball and scoring the most runs. But we think it speaks volumes that Cleveland is still the betting favorite for Tuesday's game - as they should be - at home. Shane Bieber survived a rocky outing last week in Boston as the Indians won 14-9. He'll pitch better here as the team is 5-1 with him on the mound at Progressive Field. Bieber's last two starts here have resulted in a complete game shutout (with 15 strikeouts) and five more innings where he allowed just one run against Tampa Bay (and had 10 more strikeouts). So that's just one run allowed in his last 14 innings pitched here at home with 25 strikeouts. Smeltzer for Minnesota has made just one big league start previous to this and while he didn't give up any runs, he remains an unproven commodity for a team - and pitching staff - that has clearly overachieved to this point. Play on CLEVELAND

AAA