This is an 8* play OVER Mets-Arizona

With deGrom vs. Greinke, the automatic response is to take the Under. But with deGrom that would be a bad move as his last three starts have all gone Over. Not all of that is his doing mind you, but it is certainly worth bringing to light. Arizona is stuck in a five-game losing streak, but all but one loss was by one run. Greinke has come out on the short end of two one-run decisions his last two starts and the Diamondbacks are actually only 1-4 the last five times he's started. The one win was the last time he pitched at home when they scored 11 runs. While unlikely to get that many tonight, this is a lineup averaging 5.2 runs/game for the year. With the pitching matchup, the oddsmakers obviously going to set a low total, but it's too low in our eyes as the Over is 6-1 the last seven times the Mets have been off a win. The Over is also 6-2 in Greinke's last eight starts at home. Play OVER NY Mets-Arizona

AAA