AAA's 10* NBA "ASSASSIN!" (+$7,000 ALL NBA YTD!)
(NBA) Orlando vs. Golden State,
Point Spread: -8.00 | 101.00 Golden State (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Golden State Warriors.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense:

As note that Orlando is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine non-conference road games when playing the second game of a back-to-back in which it won the first contest (upset the Lakers 108-104 yesterday), while Golden State is already 5-2 ATS this year after allowing 115 points or more.

The bottom line: Golden State has struggled without Stephen Curry, but it's slowly starting to figure things out. After a terrible stretch, there's no way the home side will "look past" its opponent today. Conversely, we look for the WARRIORS to take full advantage of a tired/complacent Magic side; lay the points.

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