PREMIUM
AAA's 10* AFC SIDE OF THE YEAR (THIS IS THE BIG SUNDAY NFL PLAY!)
(NFL) Miami vs. Indianapolis,
Point Spread: -7.50 | -108.00 Indianapolis (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -7.50 | -108.00 Indianapolis (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE YEAR on the Indianapolis Colts.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense:
As note that Miami is already just 1-3 ATS this year as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range and just 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road, while Indianapolis is 4-2 ATS in its last six as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range.
The bottom line: The Dolphins come out of their bye week with Ryan Tannehill under censer, but we think they're going to stumble here against this surging COLTS side. The line moved a couple points in favor of Miami with the news of Tannehill play, but we think he's getting far too much respect here. Lay the points and expect a blowout.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense:
As note that Miami is already just 1-3 ATS this year as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range and just 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road, while Indianapolis is 4-2 ATS in its last six as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range.
The bottom line: The Dolphins come out of their bye week with Ryan Tannehill under censer, but we think they're going to stumble here against this surging COLTS side. The line moved a couple points in favor of Miami with the news of Tannehill play, but we think he's getting far too much respect here. Lay the points and expect a blowout.
AAA Sports
