AAA's 10* NBA "RED DRAGON!" (INANE +$6,500 ALL NBA YTD!)
(NBA) Denver vs. Oklahoma City,
Point Spread: 5.00 | -105.00 Denver (Away)
Result: Win
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Denver Nuggets.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense:

As note that Denver is 7-2 ATS in its last nine as a road dog vs. a Western Conference opponent in the +3.5 to +7.5 points range, while OKC is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight in the second game of a back-to-back as a 3.5 points or more favorite.

The bottom line: Denver's depth helps it here in the second game of the back to back for each side and while we wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we'll recommend grabbing the points; play on the NUGGETS.

AAA Sports