AAA's AFTERNOON CFB BIG TEN O/U SUPER-BLOWOUT!
(NCAAF) Illinois vs. Northwestern,
Total: 58.00 | -108.00 Under
Result: Loss
This is an 8* O/U SUPER-BLOWOUT on the over Illinois/Northwestern.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense:

As note that Illinois has seen the total go OVER the number in all four games it's played in this year vs. teams win winning records, while Northwestern has seen the total go OVER in five of its last seven vs. teams with losing records.

The bottom line: The Illini have been crushed in five of their last six and they'll try to reverse that trend in a tough venue. Northwestern is already bowl eligible, but on seniors night, we think this one has the feel of a wide-open shootout. Backed with the above trends, all signs do indeed point to the OVER as the correct call.

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