AAA's **28-STARS** THANKSGIVING 3-PLAY TOTALS REPORT (ONE 10* & TWO 9* PICKS!)
(NFL) Washington vs. Dallas,
Total: 40.50 | -102.00 Under
Result: Win
This is an 9* play on the OVER Skins/Boys.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense:

Washington has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last eight as a road dog in the 3.5 to seven points range, while Dallas has seen the total spar OVER in three of four already this year.

The bottom line: No Alex Smith? No problem. The veteran was struggling mightily and we don't see much of a drop off for the Redskins. It's "next man up." Dallas though will be looking to avenge a loss in Washington and to continue its resurgence with a third straight victory. With both teams pushing the pace, look for this one to fly OVER sooner, rather than later.

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