AAA's 10* WED NIGHT CBB "RED DRAGON" (TRIPLE RED DRAGONS GOING WED!)
(NCAAB) Texas State vs. Cal Poly,
Point Spread: 7.50 | -110.00 Cal Poly (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Cal Poly Slo.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based almost entirely on strong/relevant ATS stats:

As note that Texas State is just 8-9 ATS in its last 17 non-conference games and interestingly only 2-3 ATS in its last five vs. poor defensive teams which allow 77 plus points per contest, while Cal Ply Slo is 6-2 ATS in its last eight against good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest and 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a neutral court underdog in the 6.5 to 9 points range.

The bottom line: Look for this one to come down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last. Grab the points, play on CAL POLY SLO.

AAA Sports