AAA's 10* NON-CONF. TOTAL OF THE YEAR (THIS IS THE BIG SUNDAY NFL PICK!)
(NFL) Houston vs. Washington,
Total: 42.00 | -108.00 Under
Result: Win
This is a 10* NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Texans/Redskins.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense:

As note that Houston has seen the total go OVER the number in nine of its last 15 vs. teams with winning records and in both games that it's played in following its bye week, while Washington has seen the total go OVER the posted number in eight of 12 vs. teams with winning records and in five of its last eight a home dog of three points or less.

The bottom line: We're expecting a wide open "shootout." Play the OVER.

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