AAA's 10* THURSDAY NIGHT NBA "ASSASSIN!"
(NBA) Atlanta vs. Denver,
Point Spread: -12.50 | -105.00 Denver (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Denver Nuggets.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats:

As note that Atlanta is still just 6-7 ATS in its last 13 as an underdog and only 38-40 in its last 78 against good teams which average 106 plus points per contest, while Denver is 6-3 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU losses and 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home favorite of 12.5 points or more.

The bottom line: Denver comes in desperate for a win and it catches the Hawks tired. Lay the points; play on the NUGGETS.

AAA Sports