AAA's 10* TUESDAY NIGHT NCAAF "BIG TIGER!" (HALF NORMAL PRICE!)
(NCAAF) Troy vs. South Alabama,
Point Spread: 13.00 | -110.00 South Alabama (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on South Alabama.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense:

As note that Troy is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a favorite in the 10.5 to 21 points range, while South Alabama is 5-2 ATS as an underdog in the same points range.

The bottom line: Troy lost starting QB Caleb Barker to injury and last week the Trojans fell to lowly Liberty. South Alabama QB Evan Orth has a strong 7:3 TD:INT and we think he'll help keep his team in this one late; play on SOUTH ALABAMA.

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