7-game NFL
(NFL) Cleveland vs. Tampa Bay,
Total: 51.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on the UNDER Browns/Bucs.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense:

As note that Cleveland has seen the total go UNDER the number in 17 of its last 25 as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while Tampa Bay has seen the total go UNDER the number in nine of its last 13 after two or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: These are two teams desperate for a win. The Browns can obviously ill afford to turn this into a "track meet" and expect to "hang" with the up-tempo Bucs. All signs point to this one sneaking UNDER once it's all said and done.

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