This is a 10* ASSASSIN on UNLV.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense:

As note that Air Force is just 1-5 ATS in its last six as a road favorite and 0-6 ATS in its last six when playing against a team with a losing record, while UNLV is a perfect 5-0 ATS in its last five as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range.

The bottom line: UNLV's offense is the difference maker here. Grab the points.

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