AAA's CFB SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION (ALMOST RATED AS A TOP 10* PICK!)
(NCAAF) Hawaii vs. BYU,
Point Spread: 11.00 | -106.00 Hawaii (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 9* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Hawaii.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Hawaii is 3-1 ATS in its last four as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range, while BYU is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven against teams with winning records and only 5-10 ATS in its last 15 home games.

The bottom line: BYU needs this game desperately and while the Cougars defense has been decent, we have a hard time seeing the home side matching pace with the Warriors high-flying offense. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points, play on HAWAII.

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