PREMIUM
AAA's BIG AFTERNOON CFB SIGNATURE "BIG TIGER!" (JUST $25!)
(NCAAF) Purdue vs. Illinois,
Point Spread: 10.50 | -108.00 Illinois (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 10.50 | -108.00 Illinois (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* BIG TIGER on Illinois.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Purdue is just 1-5 ATS in its last six as a road favorite in the 7.5 to ten points range, while Illinois is 5-3 ATS in its last eight against teams with losing records and 2-1 ATS in its last three as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range.
The bottom line: These teams are fighting for a bowl game still and Illinois is 2-1 in conference action, while Purdue is just 1-1. We think the Boilermakers get caught looking past their lowly opponent today though and while we're not predicting an outright upset, everything points to a "war till the end!" Grab the points, play on ILLINOIS.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Purdue is just 1-5 ATS in its last six as a road favorite in the 7.5 to ten points range, while Illinois is 5-3 ATS in its last eight against teams with losing records and 2-1 ATS in its last three as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range.
The bottom line: These teams are fighting for a bowl game still and Illinois is 2-1 in conference action, while Purdue is just 1-1. We think the Boilermakers get caught looking past their lowly opponent today though and while we're not predicting an outright upset, everything points to a "war till the end!" Grab the points, play on ILLINOIS.
AAA Sports
