PREMIUM
7-gamer
(NCAAF) SMU vs. UCF,
Point Spread: 24.50 | -115.00 SMU (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 24.50 | -115.00 SMU (Away)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on SMU.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that SMU is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three as a road dog of 21.5 points or more and 6-3 ATS in its last nine on the road, while UCF is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after back-to-back SU and ATS victories.
The bottom line: The stage is set for the high-powered home side to "look past" its lowly opponent today, and that's a major mistake. No outright, but the numbers/stats point to a much closer than expected battle. Play on SMU.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that SMU is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three as a road dog of 21.5 points or more and 6-3 ATS in its last nine on the road, while UCF is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after back-to-back SU and ATS victories.
The bottom line: The stage is set for the high-powered home side to "look past" its lowly opponent today, and that's a major mistake. No outright, but the numbers/stats point to a much closer than expected battle. Play on SMU.
AAA Sports
