PREMIUM
***100% PRIME-TIME RUN TESTED!*** 10* THUR. NIGHT TOTAL "RED DRAGON!" (7-0 RUN!)
(NFL) Indianapolis vs. New England,
Total: 51.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 51.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* TOTAL RED DRAGON on the UNDER between the Colts/Pats.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Indianapolis has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last nine after two or more consecutive SU losses and in seven of its last 12 as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while New England has seen the total go UNDER the number in ten of its last 13 against teams with losing records.
The bottom line: The Colts can't afford to turn this one into a "shootout" and expect to hand with Tom Brady. Andrew Luck has been decent this season, but his No. 1 WR Ty Hilton is questionable here and if he does play, he clearly won't be at 100%. On a short week, look for the visitors to try and control the clock while on offense. The Pats come in off the big win over the Dolphins last week, but consistency from game to game can't be trusted yet at this point either in our opinion. We're banking on this one staying UNDER once it's all said and done.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Indianapolis has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last nine after two or more consecutive SU losses and in seven of its last 12 as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while New England has seen the total go UNDER the number in ten of its last 13 against teams with losing records.
The bottom line: The Colts can't afford to turn this one into a "shootout" and expect to hand with Tom Brady. Andrew Luck has been decent this season, but his No. 1 WR Ty Hilton is questionable here and if he does play, he clearly won't be at 100%. On a short week, look for the visitors to try and control the clock while on offense. The Pats come in off the big win over the Dolphins last week, but consistency from game to game can't be trusted yet at this point either in our opinion. We're banking on this one staying UNDER once it's all said and done.
AAA Sports
