This is an 8* play on UCF.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Pittsburgh is just 1-9 ATS in its last ten non-conference games and just 2-3 ATS in its last five as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range, while UCF 7-3 ATS in its last ten non-conference games and 13-7 ATS in its last 20 as a favorite.

The bottom line: We look for Pittsburgh to take a step back in this difficult venue. Lay the points, play on UCF.

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