7-game Sunday
(NFL) New Orleans vs. Atlanta,
Total: 53.50 | -107.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on the UNDER Saints/Falcons.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS trends and common sense:

As note that New Orleans has seen the total go UNDER the number in 12 of its last 18 road games when the total is greater than or equal to 49.5, while Atlanta has seen the total go UNDER in six of its last nine off a win against a division rival.

The bottom line: We're expecting these two normally high-scoring division rivals to play to more of a lower-scoring defensive battle on Sunday afternoon. Play the UNDER.

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