7-game
(NCAAF) Ball State vs. Indiana,
Point Spread: -14.00 | -125.00 Indiana (Home)
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on Indiana.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Ball State is still just 7-8 ATS in its last 15 as an underdog and only 11-13 ATS in its last 24 games played on field turf, while Indiana is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games in which its failed to cover the spread over the first two games of the season.

The bottom line: The Hoosiers are 2-0 SU, but they've get to cover the spread. And with a difficult matchup at home against Michigan State next weekend, we think the home side takes nothing for granted here. Lay the points, play on INDIANA.

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