AAA's NATIONAL LEAGUE ASSASSIN (MASSIVE 61-42 +$8,212 ALL MLB s/ MAY 1ST!)
(MLB) Miami vs. San Francisco,
Money Line: -141.00 San Francisco (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on the San Francisco Giants.

This is a great situational play. Caleb Smith (5-6, 3.75 ERA) faced the Giants at home on Wednesday and allowed three runs off eight hits over 6.1 innings in what turned out to be a no-decision. Smith has been excellent overall this year, but he's struggled on the road with a 3-4, 4.41 ERA record. Also note that Smith is fresh coming off the bereavement list between this and his last start. Clearly Smith's mind has been on off field issues the last few days and we think that Andrew Suarez (2-4, 4.92) and the home side will take advantage. Suarez threw opposite Smith in Miami last week and gave up two runs off five hits while striking out three over five innings in a no-decision as well. Suarez has gotten progressively better of late, so far posting a 3.31 ERA in June. Note that while he has a 6.18 ERA on the road, he has a very respectable 3.55 ERA at home. Note as well that Miami is just 14-22 on the road this year, while San Fran is 19-11 (+7.2 units) at home. In our opinion this line could/should easily be a lot larger. Play on the GIANTS.

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