This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Braves.

We feel that this line could/should in fact be a lot larger, swinging the value to the hard-hitting home side. The Mets hand the ball to the erratic Zack Wheeler (2-4, 4.57 ERA) who comes in off a strong start against the Orioles on Wednesday, allowing three hits over seven scoreless innings. Wheeler has looked better of late, but we'll point out that he's still a poor 1-3 with a 4.89 ERA in all "night" contests to this point. The Braves hand the ball to Mike Foltynewicz (5-4, 2.31) who gave up two earned runs off five hits while walking three and striking out eight in a loss to San Diego on Wednesday. Once again he avoided giving up a long-ball, pushing Foltynewic's HR/9 down a tiny 0.6. Note that he's been awfully sharp at home by going 2-1 with a 2.55 ER as well. Additionally note that New York is a horrible 12-15 (-4 units) this year following a victory, while Atlanta is 20-7 (+15.5 units) following a setback. This one highly favors the BRAVES.

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