This is a 6* play on the Philadelphia Phillies.

One of these starters has been a disaster all year, while the other is putting together his finest season of his career. We expect these trends to carry over here. The erratic Jon Gray (6-6, 5.66 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors and he actually comes in off a win on Wednesday, given yup three runs off seven hits and three walks over five frames against the soft-hitting Reds on Wednesday. Gray earned the win, but note that he's now walked three batters in three straight starts and given up at least three runs over five straight trips to the mound. Gray also owns a poor 5.11 ERA in all night contests. Aaron Nola (7-2, 2.35) comes in off a no-decision against the hard-hitting Cubs on Wednesday, allowing three runs off four hits with six strikeouts over six innings. Nola owns the impressive 2.35 ERA, but note that he also sports an elite 80:22 K:BB over 84.1 innings and additionally note that he's been at his best at home with a 5-0, 1.94 ERA record. The Rockies are already a poor 15-17 (-3.2 units) this year following a loss, while Philadelphia is 20-11 (+6.5 units) at home. Lay the price with confidence, play on the PHILLIES.

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