This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Miami Marlins.

We think that hard-throwing Caleb Smith and the home side could/should easily be much larger favs in this particular matchup. The visitors hand the ball to the erratic Eric Lauer (2-3, 6.82 ERA) who gave up one run off five hits with two walks over five innings in a victory over Cincinnati on Saturday. Note though that he'd generate just three swinging strikes off 87 pitches. Lauer has been "ok" of late, but he's now given up 51 hits over 34.1 innings of work and has posted five or more strikeouts in just two of his eight starts this year (note that he's 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA on the road as well.) Smith (4-6, 4.03) comes off an outing to forget in which he allowed five runs off five hits while striking out five over four innings in an eventual loss to Arizona on Saturday. Smith though would generate 14 swinging strikes on 78 pitches and note that he's been solid at home with a 3.51 ERA to this point. We like Smith to out duel his counterpart and find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on the MARLINS.

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