This is a 6* MEMBER ONLY PLAY on the Chicago Cubs.

We have no issues pulling the trigger on a higher-priced fav if we think it'll lay the hammer down from start to finish. And that's exactly the case here. The visitors turn to the erratic Derek Holland (2-5, 4.94 ERA) who most recently allowed four earned runs off six hits over six innings to the Rockies on Friday. Holland has respectable numbers, but we think that he's in the wrong place at the wrong time here. The home side sends Kyle Hendricks (3-3, 3.40) who gave up four runs (three earned) off six hits while striking out six over five innings in a no-decision against Cincinnati on Saturday. Hendricks was 7-5 with a 3.03 ERA last year and it would appear that he's on pace to at least match those respectable numbers (also note that Hendricks owns a superb 2.60 ERA at home thus far this season.) Also note that San Fran is just 1-4 (-1.5 units) this season as a road dog in the +175 to +250 range, while Chicago is just 8-3 (+2 units) at home fav in the -175 to -250 range. For all the reasons listed above, play on the CUBS.

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