PREMIUM
5-game report
(MLB) Colorado vs. Pittsburgh,
Money Line: -133.00 Pittsburgh (Home)
Result: Loss
Money Line: -133.00 Pittsburgh (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Off yesterday's 6-2 defeat, I look for Pittsburgh to bounce back here in what we believe to be a very favorable pitching matchup. The visitors hand the ball to Chad Bettis (2-0, 2.04 ERA), who has so far looked good to open the year, most recently allowing one earned run while striking out five over seven innings in a victory over Washington on Thursday. Despite his shiny numbers on the surface though, if we dig a little deeper and look at some of his peripherals, we see some major issues, including the fact that he's only struck out four more opponents that he's walked over 17.2 innings, while also posting a strand rate above 90 percent. The home side counters with Trevor Williams (3-0, 1.56) who gave up one run over six innings on Thursday in a victory over the Cubs, also going on to strike out five. After posting a serviceable 4.07 ERA last season and coming off a strong Spring, Williams looks poised to take the next step in his career.
Note that Colorado is just 2-3 (-1.8 units) in its last five against clubs with winning records, while Pittsburgh is 4-0 (+4.8 units) this season following a loss. Great price, play on the PIRATES.
AAA Sports
Off yesterday's 6-2 defeat, I look for Pittsburgh to bounce back here in what we believe to be a very favorable pitching matchup. The visitors hand the ball to Chad Bettis (2-0, 2.04 ERA), who has so far looked good to open the year, most recently allowing one earned run while striking out five over seven innings in a victory over Washington on Thursday. Despite his shiny numbers on the surface though, if we dig a little deeper and look at some of his peripherals, we see some major issues, including the fact that he's only struck out four more opponents that he's walked over 17.2 innings, while also posting a strand rate above 90 percent. The home side counters with Trevor Williams (3-0, 1.56) who gave up one run over six innings on Thursday in a victory over the Cubs, also going on to strike out five. After posting a serviceable 4.07 ERA last season and coming off a strong Spring, Williams looks poised to take the next step in his career.
Note that Colorado is just 2-3 (-1.8 units) in its last five against clubs with winning records, while Pittsburgh is 4-0 (+4.8 units) this season following a loss. Great price, play on the PIRATES.
AAA Sports
