AAA's NHL BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT (LAY IT & CA$H IT!)
(NHL) Calgary vs. Nashville,
Money Line: -179.00 Nashville (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 6* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Nashville Predators.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Calgary is just 11-13 (-4.4 units) this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent (including only 5-8, -2.8 units in trying to revenge a home loss), while Nashville is 14-6 (+7.2 units) this season after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest and 18-9 (+8.4 units) when playing against a team with a winning record.

The bottom line: Nashville came from behind to shock the Blues 4-3 in OT in its latest action and we look for it to carry that momentum over here. The Flames have been one of the best road teams in the league, but they've lost two of their last three away from friendly confines and this is the finale of a tough six-game trip. Suffice it to say, all signs point to a letdown here for the visitors. No problem laying this larger price as all signs point to a lop-sided destruction. Lay the price, play on the PREDATORS.

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