PREMIUM
AAA's BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT (+$8.8K NHL YTD!)
(NHL) Los Angeles vs. Tampa Bay,
Money Line: -200.00 Tampa Bay (Home)
Result: Win
Money Line: -200.00 Tampa Bay (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 6* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Tampa Bay Lightning.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that LA is just 7-9 (-2.2 units) this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent and only 7-16 (-9.8 units) against clubs with winning records, while Tampa Bay is 15-8 (+3 units) this season after a win by two goals or more and 16-8 (+4.8 units) against teams with winning records.
The bottom line: LA has done well in the second game of back-to-back situations this season, but we think the Kings will have a predictable letdown here after last night's very satisfying 3-1 win in Florida. Tampa looks to take advantage. We don't foresee the home side "looking past" this opportunity. Lay the price with confidence, play on the LIGHTNING.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that LA is just 7-9 (-2.2 units) this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent and only 7-16 (-9.8 units) against clubs with winning records, while Tampa Bay is 15-8 (+3 units) this season after a win by two goals or more and 16-8 (+4.8 units) against teams with winning records.
The bottom line: LA has done well in the second game of back-to-back situations this season, but we think the Kings will have a predictable letdown here after last night's very satisfying 3-1 win in Florida. Tampa looks to take advantage. We don't foresee the home side "looking past" this opportunity. Lay the price with confidence, play on the LIGHTNING.
AAA Sports
