AAA's WEST-COAST TOTAL EXPRESS (SOLID 15-8/65% ALL PICKS L7 DAYS!)
(NBA) Dallas vs. Phoenix,
Total: 209.50 | -110.00 Under
Result: Loss
This is an 8* TOTAL EXPRESS on the OVER between the Dallas Mavericks and the Phoenix Suns.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Dallas has seen the total go OVER the number in nine of 15 already this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent (fell at home to Phoenix 97-91 in mid December), while Phoenix has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last seven after playing to five or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: We don't have to question the motivation levels of either team tonight. Both teams are dealing with injuries, but each is hungry to break a string of shoddy play. Phoenix has lost eight of ten, including five straight, while Dallas comes in having lost seven of ten, including four straight (most recently a poor 95-88 setback at home to the Heat.) Neither of these clubs will be in the playoffs, but both will be pushing the pace from start to finish as they look to get off the schneid. This number is just a little low, play the OVER.

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