AAA's EAST-COAST EXPRESS (59-35 +$13,572 NHL YTD!)
(NHL) NY Islanders vs. Toronto,
Money Line: -173.00 Toronto (Home)
Result: Win
This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Toronto Maple Leafs.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that New York is just 1-3 (-2.3 units) in its last four in the second game of a back-to-back (played and lost 4-1 at home just last night to Florida), while Toronto is already 4-1 (+2.7 units) this season when playing with three or more days of rest.

The bottom line: The Isles enjoy two nights off before a home game against Columbus and we believe they come in flat and get caught looking ahead after last night's pathetic effort. Toronto beat New York 7-1 earlier in the year, but it won't be taking anything for granted in its first game back after the All-Star break. The Leafs have won three of their last four after a four game losing streak and with a tough game at the Rangers tomorrow night, Toronto can clearly ill afford to "look past" its dangerous opponent tonight. A rested and focused MAPLE LEAFS team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

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