AAA's COAST-TO-COAST TOTAL EXPRESS (ALL AABBOOAARRDD!)
(NBA) Golden State vs. Chicago,
Total: 229.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is an 8* TOTAL EXPRESS on the UNDER between the Golden State Warriors and the Chicago Bulls.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Golden State has seen the total go UNDER the number in 11 of 19 non-conference games and in ten of 18 after three or more consecutive SU victories (the Warriors do indeed look ready for a letdown here after beating Eastern Conference heavyweights Boston and Cleveland most recently), while Chicago has seen the total go UNDER the number in interestingly 11 of 19 this season against poor defensive teams which allow 106-plus points per contest.

The bottom line: With a game at Houston up next, could the Warriors be caught "looking ahead?" Very likely of course. Chicago has been playing great, but the last thing it can do is turn this one into a "track meet" and expect to "hang" with the defending champs. When you add up all the varying factors, the UNDER is indeed the savvy move in this contest.

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