AAA's 10* AFTERNOON TOTAL WEST-COAST EXPRESS (+$17.5K BIG TICKET 10* NBA RUN!)
(NBA) Sacramento vs. LA Clippers,
Total: 215.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* WEST-COAST EXPRESS on the UNDER between the Sacramento Kings and the LA Clippers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Sacramento has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of six this year after allowing 115 points or more and in five of seven after three of more consecutive losses and interestingly in 12 of 18 against good offensive teams which score 106-plus points per contest, while LA has seen the total go UNDER the number in two of its last three after three or more consecutive victories.

The bottom line: This is the second game of a home and home set between the teams after the Clippers took the first 121-115 on Thursday. It was Sacramento's third straight loss. With a tough game at OKC up next, not too difficult to imagine the visitors getting caught looking ahead. The last thing the Kings can do is turn this into a "track meet" and expect to hang with the high-flying Clippers. However, LA is already without Blake Griffin and now DeAndre Jordan is a question mark. If he does play, clearly he won't be at 100%. When you add it all up, we feel this number is indeed a little high. Play the UNDER.

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