AAA's 10* EAST-CONF TOTAL OF WEEK (+$47,000 NBA RUN CONT!)
(NBA) Washington vs. Miami,
Total: 205.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* EASTERN-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER between the Washington Wizards and the Miami Heat.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Washignton has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 12 after scoring 105 points or more, while Miami has seen the total go UNDER in four of its last six after three or more consecutive SU losses, in five of eight after allowing 105 points or more and interestingly in eight of 13 this season against poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest.

The bottom line: All signs point to these strong trends continuing here. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports