PREMIUM
AAA's *30 STAR* MON NIGHT NBA REPORT (+$29,000 BIG TICKET 10* NBA RUN!)
(NBA) Dallas vs. San Antonio,
Point Spread: 16.00 | -110.00 Dallas (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 16.00 | -110.00 Dallas (Away)
Result: Win
This is a 10* play on the Dallas Mavericks.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a favorite between 14.5 and 18 points, while San Antonio is just 13-15 ATS in its last 28 when playing with two days rest and only 1-2 ATS this season against teams with losing records.
The bottom line: Desperation leads to motivation. While we'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, we do definitely think that the desperate visitors can keep this one a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Play on DALLAS.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a favorite between 14.5 and 18 points, while San Antonio is just 13-15 ATS in its last 28 when playing with two days rest and only 1-2 ATS this season against teams with losing records.
The bottom line: Desperation leads to motivation. While we'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, we do definitely think that the desperate visitors can keep this one a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Play on DALLAS.
AAA Sports
