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AAA's 5-GAME MONEY-LINE DESTRUCTION PASS - 100% RUN ON LINE!
(NCAAB) Iowa vs. Maryland,
Money Line: -175.00 Maryland (Home)
Result: Win
Money Line: -175.00 Maryland (Home)
Result: Win
This is an 8* MONEY-LINE play on Maryland.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Home court advantage: The Terps haven't lost in College Park in more than a year.
Poor defensive rebounding: Iowa has given up 32.6 percent of its opponents' misses to offensive boards, which is second to last in conference play.
Motivation: The Hawkeyes are rolling, while Maryland is coming off a tough loss at MSU on Saturday. This does indeed set up as a bit of a letdown spot for the visitors; also note that the Terrapins play with revenge after falling 71-55 to the Hawkeyes last February.
ATS statistics: Note that Iowa is just 17-18 ATS in its last 35 after scoring 80 points or more, while Maryland is 6-4 ATS in its last ten vs. teams with winning records.
The bottom line: Clearly these teams are very evenly matched, but home court advantage is the difference here, lay the price as we look for MARYLAND to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Home court advantage: The Terps haven't lost in College Park in more than a year.
Poor defensive rebounding: Iowa has given up 32.6 percent of its opponents' misses to offensive boards, which is second to last in conference play.
Motivation: The Hawkeyes are rolling, while Maryland is coming off a tough loss at MSU on Saturday. This does indeed set up as a bit of a letdown spot for the visitors; also note that the Terrapins play with revenge after falling 71-55 to the Hawkeyes last February.
ATS statistics: Note that Iowa is just 17-18 ATS in its last 35 after scoring 80 points or more, while Maryland is 6-4 ATS in its last ten vs. teams with winning records.
The bottom line: Clearly these teams are very evenly matched, but home court advantage is the difference here, lay the price as we look for MARYLAND to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.
AAA Sports
