PREMIUM
AAA's 10* VERY EARLY BIG-EAST "ART OF WAR!"
(NCAAB) DePaul vs. Georgetown,
Point Spread: 9.50 | -106.00 DePaul (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 9.50 | -106.00 DePaul (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on DePaul.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Immediate revenge factor: DePaul enters the nation's capital to face Georgetown, a team it lost 70-58 to just ten days ago.
Better than record indicates: The Blue Demons will no doubt be desperate, they've lost six of their last seven and are tied for last place in the Big East with an 0-3 record. As we like to say, desperation breeds motivation. DePaul's one win in that stretch was a 21-point blowout victory over then 20th-ranked George Washington. We think that the Blue Demons are better than what their record indicates though, for the most part their conference battles have been extremely competitive, last time out they'd take No. 18 Butler down to the wire in the eventual 77-72 setback.
Up and down Georgetown: The Hoyas have been all over the map with their consistency, the opened the season 1-3, then rebounded with eight victories in their next ten (although the losses were to featherweights Monmouth and UNC-Ashville). Georgetown though does have some big wins, including over Wisconsin, Syracuse and Marquette, but comes in off a listless 79-66 setback at Creighton.
ATS statistics: Georgetown is just 1-5 ATS in its last six vs. a team with a straight-up losing record, just 1-8 ATS in its last nine home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400 and only 1-9 ATS in its last ten home games vs. a team with a losing record. And note that DePaul is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. the Hoyas, while the road team is 5-1 ATS the last six in this series.
The bottom line: DePaul has clearly been playing better than what its record would indicate and with a second crack at Georgetown this season, we look for the BLUE DEMONS to give the home side everything it can handle.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Immediate revenge factor: DePaul enters the nation's capital to face Georgetown, a team it lost 70-58 to just ten days ago.
Better than record indicates: The Blue Demons will no doubt be desperate, they've lost six of their last seven and are tied for last place in the Big East with an 0-3 record. As we like to say, desperation breeds motivation. DePaul's one win in that stretch was a 21-point blowout victory over then 20th-ranked George Washington. We think that the Blue Demons are better than what their record indicates though, for the most part their conference battles have been extremely competitive, last time out they'd take No. 18 Butler down to the wire in the eventual 77-72 setback.
Up and down Georgetown: The Hoyas have been all over the map with their consistency, the opened the season 1-3, then rebounded with eight victories in their next ten (although the losses were to featherweights Monmouth and UNC-Ashville). Georgetown though does have some big wins, including over Wisconsin, Syracuse and Marquette, but comes in off a listless 79-66 setback at Creighton.
ATS statistics: Georgetown is just 1-5 ATS in its last six vs. a team with a straight-up losing record, just 1-8 ATS in its last nine home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400 and only 1-9 ATS in its last ten home games vs. a team with a losing record. And note that DePaul is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. the Hoyas, while the road team is 5-1 ATS the last six in this series.
The bottom line: DePaul has clearly been playing better than what its record would indicate and with a second crack at Georgetown this season, we look for the BLUE DEMONS to give the home side everything it can handle.
AAA Sports
