This is a 10* CONF-USA GOW on Liberty.

Liberty is now 5-1 after a 27-24 loss at Kennesaw State as a 26.5-point favorite last weekend. On the cusp of punching their ticket to a bowl and looking for a big placement at the end of the season, the Flames came up short in humbling fashion.

With that "brain fart" out of the way, I look for the Flames to rally here and to find a way to get the job done. Despite being 5-1 SU, Liberty is just 1-5 ATS. The Flames have consistently been overvalued by the oddsmakers and by the majority of the general betting public, but not this week.

Note that Liberty has performed well in this spot for bettors in the past, going 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite.

Jacksonville State is now the one primed for the letdown after four straight victories. The Gamecocks beat MU 42-20 last weekend to move to 4-3. Tyler Huff has looked decent of late, but the Gamecocks still concede 29.3 PPG.

The Flames are on the other hand only concede 22.2 PPG, while averaging 34.7 at home.

Clearly I feel that the outright win is a possibility, but in the end let's grab as many points as we can with LIBERTY.

Good luck, NP