This is a 10* BIG 12 TOM on the OVER Houston/Cincinnati.

Houston has been involved in three lower-scoring games to open the season, but I'm finally expecting the Cougars to put some points on the board. They lost 27-7 to UNLV in Week 1, then 16-12 at Oklahoma as 27.5-point dogs, then they followed that up with a 33-7 win at home over Rice.

It's significant to note obviously that the Cougars have in fact seen the total go OVER the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row (dating to last year.)

They lost this game 24-14 at home last year to the Bearacts, who enter 2-1 after a 38-20 win over Twowson, a 28-7 loss to Pitts and a 27-16 win at Miami Ohios. Cincinnati has had no issues putting points on the board this season, and I don't expect that to be an issue here at home either. With tough upcoming games at Texas Tech and UCF, this is a matchup that the Bearcats can't overlook.

The Bearcats are allowing 438.7 YPG in the early going, which is good news for Houston QB Donovan Smith, who will look to build off his first victory.

I expect a lot more offense than the bookmakers are trying to lead us to believe, so the play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP