This is a 10* MW TOM on the UNDER Utah State/Air Force.

These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but now that conference action is here, I'm expecting a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe.

Utah State is 12-1 and fourth in the Mountain West. The Aggies have seen the total fly OVER the number in six of their last seven.

Air Force won't be taking anything for granted here though. It's 7-5 and it's lost three straight. The Falcons have also seen the total go OVER the number in three straight.

Both of these facts are important to take note of, as Air Force has in fact seen the total UNDER the number in three of its last four after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row and seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row.

This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP