10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER - 24-11 (70%) NFL RUN!
(NFL) New Orleans vs. New England,
Total: 39.00 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the OVER Saints/Patriots.

Both teams have been involved in many tight, lower-scoring defensive-battles to open the season, but I'm now finally expecting more of an offensive "shootout" here between these non-conference opponents.

As a rule, I like to bet on motivated teams when wagering on an "over" and that's definitely the case here for both the 2-2 Saints and the 1-3 Patriots.

Both offenses have struggled to this point, but non-conference matchups more often than not are less intense defensively, and I expect that definitely to be the case here this weekend.

It's easy just to look at the offensive and defensive numbers and predict what the combined outcome of a game will be, but that's simply not the way it works in the "real" world.

Betting totals is about betting "situations" and in my opinion, this number is now just TOO low.

New England is coming off the terrible 38-3 loss at Dallas and it'll be desperate to avoid the 1-4 hole. It's seen the total go UNDER in three straight, which is significant to note here as the Pats have in fact seen the total go OVER the number in six of their last eight after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row.

This number is low, the play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP