This is a 10* WC GOY on the Rays.

After yesterday's 4-0 loss, I like the Rays to respond at home here with the more "in form" starter going for them tonight.

Note that TB is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent as well.

The Rays got routed by Cleveland in the Wildcard last yeara and also struggled to put runs on the board. The fact of the matter is, the Rangers didn't look fantastic either, going just 1-for-13 with RISP.

Nathan Eovaldi (12-5, 3.63 ERA) gets the call for the Rangers, and while he went 2-0 with a 2.92 ERA vs. the Rays this year, he was just 1-2 with an atrocious 9.30 ERA over his final six September starts.

This is case of: that was then, and this now, for Eovaldi, who is just in the wrong place at the wrong time in my estimation.

The home side puts its season on the shoulders of Zach Eflin (16-8, 3.50), who gets up in Orlando: "That was probably my biggest goal this offseason was to sign with a team that wins consistently in the playoffs. It just helped that I grew up a really big Rays fan, and I live two hours away," Eflin said.

It's do-or-die time for the Fish. I'm laying the price and finally expecting this underachieving home side to finally figure it out at the plate.

Lay the price with confidence, the play is TAMPA.

Good luck, NP